Bolton 2-0 Crewe

Is it time to win a match?

Yes.

The way fortune plays a role. 
Bolton average something like 15 shots per match, quite high but less than 5 hit the target. 

Statistically we would usually get 1.67 goals per game based on those stats, and our shots against would concede us 1.38 goals per game. That's usually enough to win more games than you lose or draw.

By a stroke of misfortune our conversion stats for actual goals are reversed. Meaning we concede around 1.67 and score 1.38.

Statistically speaking, if we keep doing what we are doing, eventuality the trend should even out and revert to expected levels (assuming things level out on average over a season).

This would mean that our next 16 games would net us 26 points all things being equal.

If I said we will lose 1 out of every four matches for the rest of the season. But win at least one, sometimes two out of every four, would you take it?


(If you assume we can improve, which many on here think we can, then we can get even more than that)

Why is this on a Friday night if it's not on telly?

Norpig wrote:Why is this on a Friday night if it's not on telly?

Because Gethin’s testimonial is on on Sunday but it is being shown on iFollow for those who can’t make it.

This is Bolton playing a game we should win easily.

Therefore we won't.

I'll go 0-0 and back in the car before the final whistle.

Is this testimonial match on Ifollow per chance? 

For this match. Im going 2-1 to the Wanderers.

I think Evatt will make us more solid at the back and assuming we can avoid conceding in the first 25 mins we will go on to build on that. The other team will have to push for an equalizer at some stage if we take the lead. This will leave them open for our second goal. Two nil is on the cards but I can't see us not conceding at least a penalty.

Score 
2-1
Shots
13-5
On target
5-3
Corners
7-2
Possession
59-41

Two sides who on recent form look very evenly matched - both teams have got just 1 point from their last 5 matches.

Could go either way.

If we can't win this game then we have got serious problems.

Not a bad guess...

Good performance all around. Well deserved three points.

The pissing around at the back almost cost us another goal - still an issue IMO

I like Bako up front - at least after that game -- just a handful and caused both goals.

Onwards.

Well on top throughout. 
But they could have had two, even three or four.
Hit the bar late on. Denied a pen. Our keeper spilled one which they should have buried and there were a few other calamitous moments.

More of the same blandness first half, although credit to Isgrove (I think) for that brilliant backheel.

Second half was much better, the attacking players actually looked threatening.