Sunderland 2-2 Bolton.

Reebok Trotter wrote:Well, what do we all think ? Sunderland haven't score in four games so it could be just our luck for them to find their scoring boots again.

My head says Sunderland 2 Bolton 0 but my heart says we might just come away with a 0-0 draw.

Reebok Trotter wrote:Well, what do we all think ? Sunderland haven't score in four games so it could be just our luck for them to find their scoring boots again.

My head says Sunderland 2 Bolton 0 but my heart says we might just come away with a 0-0 draw.

aaron_bwfc wrote:I'd take a point without question but I have a good feeling about this one after last night.

I'm going for a 2-2 draw.

largehat wrote:We need 5 points to stay up.

By my reckoning, if we don't get either 2 draws, or 1 win, out of Sunderland/Tottenham, then we will need a result at Stoke on the last day.

Dunkels King wrote:

largehat wrote:We need 5 points to stay up.

By my reckoning, if we don't get either 2 draws, or 1 win, out of Sunderland/Tottenham, then we will need a result at Stoke on the last day.

We still have to play West Brom at home don't forget.

largehat wrote:

I've been chewing over the remaining fixtures and table for the last few hours and keep arriving at the same conclusion: we need 5 points to stay up.

In my opinion, Villa and QPR can survive on 37 points because of their goal difference, unless they are level with each other in 17th/18th, whereas ourselves, Wigan and Blackburn need 38 points.

Current table
15 Villa 35 -14 36 - West Brom(A), Spurs(H), Norwich(A)
16 QPR 35 -18 34 - Chelsea(A), Stoke(H), Man City(A)
17 Wigan 35 -26 34 - Newcastle(H), Blackburn(A), Wolves(H)
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18 Bolton 34 -28 33 - Sunderland(A), Spurs(H), WBA(H), Stoke(A)
19 Blackburn 35 -26 31 - Spurs(A), Wigan(H), Chelsea(A)

I think Villa only need 1 point and any win will keep them up
I think Wigan either need 2 wins or 1 win and probably 1 draw, but maybe 2
I think QPR need 1 win and 1 draw
I think we need 1 win and 2 draws or 2 wins
I think Blackburn need 2 wins and a draw.

You really have to fancy Villa to pick up a single point in their 3 games.

You really have to fancy Wigan to win at Blackburn and beat relegated Wolves on the final day.

You really can't see Blackburn picking up 7 points from those fixtures.

Therefore I really think it is neck and neck between ourselves and QPR, which is why we are both 11/8 to go down. The bookies are pretty much saying QPR will beat Stoke and finish on 37 points with a better goal difference to ourselves, and our chances of picking up 5 points are identical. Of course, if Wigan lose against both Newcastle and Blackburn, we have another route to safety.

Guys I know there have been loads of shock results recently involving QPR and Wigan but we have to remember that all but one of those - Wigan's win at Arsenal - came when the underdog played on their home patch.

For this reason I think Blackburn are absolutely screwed and already I am wanting them to beat Wigan in their last home game. I'm also going to stick my neck out and say I am certain QPR will get nothing at Chelsea or Man City. The only caveat I would put on this is that we need City to beat United on Monday to be 100% certain they will be interested in that final day game v QPR with the title still on the line.

5 points from safety, if we can pick up a total of 2 or 3 points from our next two games - Sunderland(A) and Tottenham(H), we will be a home win over West Brom away from another season of PL football. Pick up less than 2 points from Sunderland/Tottenham and we will probably need a positive result at Stoke.

Natasha Whittam wrote:If you were going to pick a must win away game on the final day, Stoke would be near the top of the list. In poor form, nothing to play for etc.