wessy wrote: Natasha Whittam wrote: wessy wrote:One things for certain Boris is desperate now for an election, without it he has backed himself into a corner, if he doesn't honour the leave on the 31st he is toast.
If Labour have any sense they won't fall into the trap and allow an election before the deadline. Let the arrogant man hang himself when he fails.
After PMQ's the Chancellor stood up to give his spending review(bribe for election) he didn't know the bloody procedure pulled up twice by the speaker what a plonker.
I think everything is going to Boris Johnson's plan.
He'll walk an election.
Explain his plan? six weeks into the job and loses his majority, he is a wounded animal, that makes him dangerous but he ain't got a plan that will work.
No Election before deadline = No Boris unless of course he changes all the rules and sacks a few more of his own side. His behaviour so far is not really making him electable. He will lose seats in Scotland, He loses 21 faithful blues by is own hand. Looks like another hung parliament at best.
Plan is to strengthen his hand by having a big majority.
He could not do anything with such a tiny majority that May had left him with so he knew he was never going to achieve Brexit by October.
He knows that the EU don't believe we will ever go for a NO Deal Brexit - but also know IF we did it would cause pain on their side also.
There's no chance of them renegotiating when they know it isn't an option as things stand.
Johnson knows that by having a General Election and entering into a pact with the Brexit Party, as well as deselecting the Tory rebels (who will not all retain their seats if they stood as independents, that he will win comfortably. Tory Brexit candidates will stand in the rebel 21 seats and win most/all of them.
The Brexit party will target Labour seats who voted for Brexit in the referendum (and recent European election) and the Tories will not contest them.
Similarly the Brexit Party will not stand against Tory seats.
Between them they will smash Labour under Corbyn - and that's why Corbyn won't back a GE unless a referendum is called first.
If there is a referendum and the people vote Brexit again, then there's not much point in the Brexit Party standing against them in the GE as Labour will be forced to support Brexit now (Corbyn always had anyway). If the vote is Remain, then Labour is in a winning position and the vote sinks the whole Brexit debate (for now anyway).
Johnson will win big out of a GE and Labour be put to the sword by the Brexit Party outside of London, Wales and Scotland.
Conservatives plus Brexit Party seats will give a huge mandate for Brexit - even No Deal Brexit - and will force the EU to offer better terms.
That's the game that is being played I believe.
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